The Morning Line: Springfield Day 2

Highlights

  • Round 2 looks good for at least a few riders who are already on the leaderboard.
  • We saw the top money earning ABBI Classic bull last night, and we'll see the top points bull tonight.
  • The 15/15 round is stacked in favor of the bulls, and qualified rides will be hard to come by.

In This Article

Round 2 features 16 ABBI Classic bulls to close out last night’s competition, and a mix of normal PBR long fill out the rest of the round. The 15/15 Round is pretty strong here, and the odds are the bulls will win most of the matchups there.

Round 2: 

Alisson de Souza on 23B Fearless:

Big Black, who we saw last night is leading the ABBI Standings in terms of money won, but this bull is leading in points, and points will ultimately determine this year’s champion at the close of the World Finals. This is the bull all the others are hoping to overtake. Fearless can be as rank as any short round bull at times, but he’s somewhat inconsistent. He hasn’t given up a qualified ride yet, and Souza will be the underdog here.

Keyshawn Whitehorse on 3015 Kmag YoYo:

Whitehorse was 87.25 points on this bull in Little Rock, Arkansas earlier this year to win second in a round. The bull threw a few curve balls at him, but Whitehorse handled him easily. Whitehorse has a great draw in a round where not a lot of other riders do.

Matt Triplett on 756 Wacked Out:

This isn’t an easy bull to ride, but he’s given up a couple of big rides to right-handed riders. Triplett was one of the few to get a score last night with a great ride for 89 points, and he has a chance to add to that here.

Kaique Pacheco on 32 Sitting Bull:

Sitting Bull usually goes to the right and he’s one of the more predictable bulls you will see at this level. It’s easy to guess what his next jump will be like – it will be just like the last one. If a rider doesn’t have to maintain total focus on reaction to every jump it makes his job super easy. Pacheco won the round last night, and it will be a shocker if he bucks off here. The only way that happens is either the bull or Pacheco do something completely out of character.

Silvano Alves on 210 Chaos Ghost:

Chaos Ghost has been ridden four times in his career, all by right handed riders. Alves does have a shot here. Alves kept a low score last night, something he’s kind of known for. 

But here’s the issue with that. Keeping a low score is far better than ending up with a zero, but it means you are consciously aiming to place in the average. Alves in his early years in the PBR had such a high riding percentage that he almost always placed in the average. This season he’s at around 44%, which isn’t bad, but it’s significantly less than two out of three bulls, and he’s only going to get three bulls here. So, it’s less of a safe play for anyone with a normal or low riding percentage. 

It’s often mentioned that Alves employed a “strategy” of turning down rerides and keeping low scores to win his world titles, but that’s clearly a myth even if Alves himself professes to believe it. It’s not a viable strategy in any real sense. In his three championship seasons, Alves rode an average of 60 bulls per season, and that’s a number that only a tiny minority of PBR world champions have ever achieved. Anyone who turns in 60 qualified rides this season will almost certainly win the title regardless of what kind of decisions they make about rerides, although it’s a very safe bet that no one will do it. In Silvano’s first two winning seasons he actually took more rerides than he turned down. His “strategy” arguably helped J.B. Mauney win his first title in 2013, because Alves did decline a number of competitive opportunities down the stretch of that year.

15/15 Round: 

Keyshawn Whitehorse on W37 Cochise:

Sometimes Cochise can be a pretty good draw in a short round or 15/15 round for a left-handed rider, but most of the time he’s something of an eliminator even for lefties. Whitehorse is right-handed which doesn’t bode well for him here. Cochise is 21-1 against righties, the one guy being Matt Triplett who is really good away from his hand. Whitehorse has tried this bull twice before and hasn’t gotten past the corner.

Ryan Dirteater on 362A Heartbreak Kid:

This bull has been ridden once, when he had a really bad day a year and a half ago. On a really good day no one has had an answer for him, and he doesn’t look fun. Dirteater will have his hands full here.

Dakota Buttar on 138 M.A.G.A:

Cody Teel rode this bull in Tulsa for 89.25 points, but this isn’t an ideal draw for a left-handed rider. He tends to go to the right, and he breaks rhythm and moves around in the spin a lot. He’ll be a challenge for Buttar who will have to react perfectly every jump to have a chance.

Dener Barbosa on 44A Smooth Over:

Barbosa tried this bull last season and didn’t make it very far. Smooth Over has only been ridden 5 times in 31 career outs. All five rides however were Brazilian riders, and that’s not too surprising. Lots of bulls in Brazil are similar to Smooth Over, they just aren’t usually this strong.

Fabiano Vieira on 397A Frequent Flyer:

Frequent Flyer is the 2015 ABBI Futurity Champion, and he’s remarkably similar to the 2016 Futurity champ War Cloud who we saw last night. Neither bull has been ridden at the Premier level yet, and both tend to have a little roll when going into the spin that riders haven’t had an answer for. Frequent Flyer is 23-0 overall and 18-0 at PBR Premier level events.

Eduardo Aparecido on 2125 Wicked Stick:

This is a rematch from Nashville where Aparecido bucked off in under 4 seconds. Wicked Stick is a legitimately difficult bull. He’s been a consistent talent since 2015, giving up 8 qualified rides in 54 career outs against very good riders.

Jess Lockwood on 319 Canadian Mist:

This has to be the odds-on favorite for the round win. Canadian Mist is one of the better draws in the round, and Lockwood was 91.5 points on him in Tulsa just last month.

Cooper Davis on 345 Rising Sun:

Rising Sun is the single best draw of these 15 bulls, and he’s the one most of these riders were probably hoping to have. He’s ridden about 40% of the time, and in difficulty he rates below the average short round bull at this level, but he can produce short round type scores. If either Lockwood or Canadian Mist fail to deliver, Davis could easily slip past them for the round win on this bull.

Luciano de Castro on 511T Stretch:

This is a solid bull. He’s fast, and intense, but because he has good timing he is rideable. He may not be the best possible fit for Castro of all the bulls here, but he’s not the worst possible fit either.

Cody Teel on 045 Seven Dust:

Seven Dust is mean, nasty, and has one of the highest difficulty ratings in the round. However, Teel is one for one on him. They met in St. Louis earlier this year, and Teel rode him for 88.5 points. That doesn’t mean this will be an easy win though. This bull is a tough nut to crack even for guys who have cracked him before.

Cody Nance on 001 Smooth Operator:

Smooth Operator has been ridden three times in seventy-six career outs, and never by a left-handed rider. He’s not quite as intimidating as he was early in his career from a left-hand delivery, but he’s still tough, and the odds are heavily against Nance here.

Ramon de Lima on 567 Lester Gillis:

Lester Gillis does almost the same ordinary thing every time. He spins – usually to the left, and he has timing. But he puts so much effort into spinning that it makes him different and hard to track. While he doesn’t have high powerful leaps, he does have an impressive record of buckoffs. Only Kaique Pacheco, Cooper Davis and Eduardo Aparecido have ever ridden him, and he’s also bucked Davis and Aparecido off before too.

Jose Vitor Leme on 5A After Midnight:

At times this can be one of the rankest bulls in the business, but usually he’s just your average short round bull. He’s a strong bull who uses a lot of power to get riders on the ground, and he’s only given up one ride in twenty-four career outs. Leme will not get an easy score here – he’ll have to work for it.

Claudio Montanha Jr. on 809 Old Fort Days:

This bull made his PBR debut earlier this season, coming off a big year at Pro Rodeos in 2017. He is something of a pattern bull, but he’s good enough that no one had figured him out yet. He’s 6-0 at the PBR Premier level, and his most recent victim is Montanha, who he threw off in Nashville a few weeks ago

Kaique Pacheco on 33 Livin’ Large:

Pacheco didn’t draw bad here. Livin Large isn’t the easiest bull here, but he’s far from the hardest. He tends to spin to the left and his biggest tools are speed and agility. He’s not very strong, but he beats riders with timing mix ups and fast spinning. Pacheco is really good at weathering rough spots in a bull’s timing or pattern and just riding through them. He’s not a fragile rider who can be upset by any hitch in a bull’s step, and that’s what makes him a contender.

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